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WHILE RELAXING….  
October 2006

Article Archives

QUOTE FOR THE DAY  

" I take nothing for granted.
I now have only good days, or great days."

                            Lance Armstrong

WHILE RELAXING….  

Just to clear the air, last weeks comments on fees were not directed at anyone in particular. I just felt it appropriate as we do get the odd query (such as one client who wanted an investment that charged nothing).  

However, we do often get calls regarding specific investment products, or our expectations on the Rand etc. As we have mentioned before, under FAIS we are a little hamstrung when giving advice, but it actually goes further than that – we cannot (and do not) make weekly calls on exchange rates etc., but rather tend to look forward up to 12 months at a time and base our investment process on that.  

But this highlights another potential grey area that has not raised it’s ugly head YET, and that is FAIS compliant media 

Is it not time for the media to take responsibility for giving global advice, and to actively check their facts when writing stories about investment products; pensions and provident funds, and just general advice, because we know that readers follow their advice avidly? It is a known fact that 99% of readers feel that if it is in print, it must be true ! 

What prompted this was when a reader recently read an article in the Huisgenoot magazine about the tax-free nature of provident funds, and challenged the author. The scary thing is that this particular publication has one of the highest circulations in the country, as many of the articles in this magazine also generally appear in YOU and Drum, so the combined readership could be anything up to 600 000+ people.  

Generally journalists would do the research (they often contact us), find the industry sources and write the article. In most cases they would verify the facts with the source and then the editor or sub-editor would take his or her delete button to the story. Sometimes, however there is no time to verify the facts due to deadline pressure

Too date no one has reported a journalist to the FSB for providing advice that they followed and suffered as a result of. There was a case several years ago where a journalist was providing generic advice, which investors followed and subsequently lost money, but that was pre-FAIS, and the journalist was taken off air. That was then. 

However, the journalist has a responsibility to ensure that the facts are correct, and a financial journalist should understand that they are not in a position to offer financial advice of any shade or colour. Unfortunately it doesn’t stop the industry commentators on reporting on trends in the markets and asset classes.  

The time will come (not a matter of “if”, but rather “when”) when an investor will act on this advice, lose money, and then look for a scapegoat. The obvious first stop will be their financial advisors’ door, and if they have done all the necessary research and profile building, they could turn their attention elsewhere - the media. It will only take one civil court case where an investor sues a journalist for damages on perceived advice given before the flood gates open.  

I, in my capacity as the idiot that writes these missives every week, could well fall into this category, hence my reticence when it comes to being too specific on any topic.

FUND REPORT –October 2006

PORTFOLIO

RISK PROFILE

YTD

12 Months

6 Months

3 Months

Classic Port

Low

9.27%

14.86%

1.11%

1.95%

Cabernet

Medium - Low

11.91%

19.53%

1.89%

4.46%

Chardonnay

Medium

13.07%

22.56%

1.16%

6.20%

Shiraz

Medium - High

15.82%

27.35%

1.62%

8.42%

Champagne

High

17.19%

29.25%

3.16%

12.21%

Claret

International ®

28.70%

27.82%

23.68%

18.90%

Porto

International ($)

8.18%

10.74%

4.37%

3.57%

Merlot

International ($)

8.69%

13.84%

1.85%

6.44%

Global stocks & commodities trading flat ( 8.45am )

LOCAL:

The Rand was steady and range-bound in late trade on Tuesday, despite the Dollar remaining well-bid and the gold price coming off its earlier highs, as local players marked time ahead of the Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee meeting on Wednesday and Thursday. The JSE Securities Exchange South Africa (JSE) kept its head above water on Tuesday to reach another record close, but was seen losing some momentum in line with weaker commodity prices and as players became nervous ahead of the rates decision on Thursday. At the close the JSE Top 40 index of blue chips had edged up 19 points or 0.09% to end at 20 898. Yesterday the JSE All-Share index added 26 points or 0.12% to finish at 22 799.

USA :

In New York stocks edged higher on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial average setting a closing record, as the earnings reporting period got underway with Alcoa after the bell. The world's most widely watched stock market index also set a record trading high of 11,877.90 during the session. Overall, stocks have risen across the board for 5 out of 6 sessions after a surprisingly strong quarter on Wall Street. "The market has pushed higher, even during bad news," said Brian Piskorowski, market analyst at Wachovia Securities. "But one needs to take a look at how far we've come and what's coming into play." "The big picture is that we're on the cusp of earnings season," Piskorowski said. "And you have a market that's looking to take a wait-and-see type of approach." The Dollar continued its rally against the Euro and the Yen that followed the North Korea test claim.

London

A retreat in oil below $60/barrel, takeover talk stirring financial and advertising stocks, and easing worries about North Korea's nuclear test helped lift London’s FTSE 100 index on Tuesday. The benchmark FTSE 100 Index gained 41.8 points, or 0.7%, to 6072.70 in London as more than 2 stocks advanced for each that retreated.

Europe

European stocks rose for a 5th day, as investors speculated corporate earnings will rise and reports pointed to sustained economic growth in the region. A pause in interest-rate increases by the US Federal Reserve has helped alleviate concern that an economic slowdown in Europe 's largest export market will be abrupt. “There is a positive economic background that may extend in time longer than previously thought,'' said Cesar Martinez, who helps manage $13-bn at Gesmadrid SA in Madrid. “This is an attractive scenario for stocks.''

Asia

Stocks around the Asia-Pacific region are trading little changed today. Tokyo ’s Nikkei index ended lower on Wednesday as shares of consumer loan companies and others with dim earnings outlooks fell, while investors took profits in Tokyo Electron Ltd and other recent gainers. Security concerns following a report of a second North Korean nuclear test encouraged investors to look for quality shares with liquidity while they unloaded others including small-cap issues, analysts said.

Hong Kong ’s share prices finished the morning session flat as Hong Kong Chief Executive Donald Tsang's policy address did not contain any major surprises, dealers said. The market opened firmer led by select China financial stocks on the back of strong institutional response to Industrial and Commercial Bank of China 's huge initial public offering, but gave up the gains after Tsang's annual policy speech.

Commodities

The price of crude oil traded near an 8-month low on concern Saudi Arabia 's decision to maintain shipments amid a seasonal drop in demand will increase global stockpiles. Oil closed yesterday at its lowest since February after Saudi Arabia 's state oil company told customers in Asia and Europe to expect no cutbacks in their November supplies. A US government report tomorrow will probably show already above-average inventories in the world's biggest oil consumer gained 1.5-mn barrels last week.

Gold rose above $575 an ounce on Wednesday after Japanese broadcaster NHK said North Korea may have conducted another nuclear test, but profit taking quickly erased some of the gains.

And on the lighter side of life – 
HOW TO MAKE A WOMAN HAPPY

 It's really not difficult...To make a woman happy; a man only needs to be:
 
01. a friend
02. a companion
03. a lover
04. a brother
05. a father
06. a master
07. a chef
08. an electrician
09. a carpenter
10. a plumber
11. a mechanic
12. a decorator
13. a stylist
14. a sexologist
15. a gynaecologist
16. a psychologist
17. a pest exterminator
18. a psychiatrist
19. a healer
20. a good listener
21. an organiser
22. a good father
23. very clean
24. sympathetic
25. athletic
26. warm
27. attentive
28. gallant
29. intelligent
30. funny
31. creative
32. tender
33. strong
34. understanding
35. tolerant
36. prudent
37. ambitious
38. capable
39. courageous
40. determined
41. true
42. dependable
43. passionate
 
WITHOUT FORGETTING TO:
44. give her compliments regularly
45. love shopping
46. be honest
47. be very rich
48. not stress her out
49. not look at other girls
 
AND AT THE SAME TIME, YOU MUST ALSO:
50. give her lots of attention,
51. give her lots of time, especially time for herself  
52. give her lots of space, never worrying about where she goes
 
IT IS VERY IMPORTANT:
53. Never to forget:
* birthdays
* anniversaries
* arrangements she makes
 
HOW TO MAKE A MAN HAPPY:-
01. Feed him
02. Love him
03. Leave him in peace

 
Funds Performance
"Classic Port" Portfolio
"Cabernet" Portfolio  
"Chardonnay" Portfolio
"Shiraz" Portfolio  
"Champagne" Portfolio
   
Global Funds Performance
"Claret" Portfolio
"Merlot" Portfolio
   

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Craighall Park
South Africa

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Craighall
2024

phone us at:
+27 11 789 1255

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+27 11 789 1292